- Joe Biden is +700 to win the Democratic nomination in 2024.
- His Vice-President, Kamala Harris, is +250 to win the nomination and +500 to win the election.
- Mike Pence and Nikki Haley are the favorites on the Republican side, at +350 each.
LAS VEGAS – Joe Biden has won the 2020 Presidential election defeating Donald Trump. With that, eyes turn to the 2024 election.
While one might expect the President-Elect to be a favorite to win reelection, or at least to be the Democratic nominee in 2024, he is neither of those things.
Instead, Vice President-elect Kamala Harris sits atop the election odds boards, due in part to Biden’s age and to the persistent rumors that he will only serve one term.
Let’s take a look at the field of potential Democratic nominees on the online sportsbooks:
Democratic Nominee for the 2024 Election
- Kamala Harris +250
- Joe Biden +700
- Andrew Yang +800
- Pete Buttigieg +900
- Beto O’Rourke +1000
- Bernie Sanders +1200
- Stacey Abrams +1200
- Michelle Obama +1200
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1400
Harris tops the field at +250, while Biden is next at +700. Biden will be 83 by the time the next campaign comes around, and that is a big reason why he isn’t favored to be the next Dem candidate.
After Biden is a who’s who of people who lost in the 2020 primary, from Andrew Yang to Bernie Sanders.
Stacey Abrams and Michelle Obama are interesting choices – Abrams worked hard to flip Georgia blue, and Obama is perhaps the highest-profile woman in the party – even out of the White House.
After them is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, whose +1400 odds signify her massive following among younger voters.
A lot of the same names pop up in the 2024 Presidential Election odds, although various Republicans are peppered in as well.
For example, Nikki Haley and Mike Pence appear to be early favorites on the Republican side, with both having +800 odds to be the next President.
Odds to Win the 2024 Presidential Election
- Kamala Harris +500
- Nikki Haley +800
- Mike Pence +800
- Joe Biden +1200
- Andrew Yang +1200
- Pete Buttigieg +1400
Harris once again tops the presidential odds boards at +500, with Haley and Pence right after her. Biden is below them – the President-Elect’s age once again works against him.
Andrew Yang seems shockingly overrepresented on the odds boards compared to his actual finish in the 2020 primaries (he won zero states, and dropped out after getting 2.8% of the votes in the New Hampshire primary).
The story here is clear: Harris is the favorite to win the Democratic nomination in 2024, as well as the presidency.
On the Republican side, things are much more up in the air.
Republican Nominee for the 2024 Election
- Mike Pence +350
- Nikki Haley +350
- John Kasich +800
- Josh Hawley +800
- Ted Cruz +800
- Donald Trump Sr. +1000
- Tom Cotton +1200
- Tim Scott +1200
- Dan Crenshaw +1400
- Donald Trump Jr. +1600
Various strains of typical conservatives sit at the top of the odds boards, which is an interesting turn from the last four years.
One might suspect that the cat is out of the bag, so to speak, and Pence, Haley and Kasich could find themselves left behind in the same way that Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz found themselves obliterated in Donald Trump’s wake.
Speaking of Trump, he’s sitting with +1000 odds, while his son Donald Trump Jr. boasts +1600 odds.
Overall, the Democrats seem to have a clear plan – if a boring one – while the Republicans will have to figure out where to go, just like in 2016.
However, 2016 surely worked out for them – they won the election, and appointed three justices to the Supreme Court.
Americans will have to see if another Trump-style candidate emerges from the chaos.