- Kalshi prices Georgia at 51 cents for Rick Jackson and 48 for Keisha Lance Bottoms, a three-cent gap.
- Nevada’s Aaron Ford trades at 55 cents against 45 for Gov. Joe Lombardo, up from 48 cents for Ford on Oct. 4.
- Ohio’s Amy Acton trades at 70 to 71 cents against 31 for Vivek Ramaswamy, the third-closest race on Kalshi.
- Kansas Republican Ty Masterson is at 76 cents, while Wisconsin, Iowa and Arizona Democrats trade at 80, 87 and 91.
ATLANTA – Georgia and Nevada are the two closest races on Kalshi’s governor race odds 2026 board, with Ohio third, 15 days before the Nov. 3 election. Republican Rick Jackson trades at 51 cents in Georgia against 48 for Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms, and Democrat Aaron Ford is at 55 in Nevada against 45 for Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo. In Ohio, Democrat Amy Acton is at 70 to 71 cents against 31 for Republican Vivek Ramaswamy.
Georgia Flips To Jackson After Bottoms Falls From 60 Cents
Jackson’s last trade is 51 cents, with a bid of 50 and an ask of 51, and Bottoms is at 48. Bottoms closed at 60 cents on Sept. 22, fell to 54 the next day and bottomed at 45 on Oct. 11 before recovering to 49 by Oct. 18. About 958,000 Bottoms contracts have traded, against 845,000 for Jackson.
An InsiderAdvantage poll of 800 likely voters conducted Oct. 12-13, reported by Atlanta News First, had Jackson ahead 49% to 47%, inside its 3.46-point margin of error. A Jackson contract at 51 cents pays 49 cents of profit per $1 contract and a Bottoms contract at 48 pays 52, so each side risks roughly what it stands to win. Polymarket US lists Jackson at 53 and Bottoms at 49.
Nevada’s Ford Has Gained Seven Cents Since Oct. 4
Ford closed at 48 cents on Oct. 4, rose to 52 the next day and 55 on Oct. 6, and trades at 55 now against 45 for Lombardo. The 10-cent gap is wider than Georgia’s three but narrower than in any of the other 33 races Kalshi lists. A Lombardo contract at 45 cents pays 55 cents of profit if the incumbent wins, 10 cents more than a Ford contract at 55 pays. Polymarket US lists Ford at 57 and Lombardo at 45.
Ohio Holds Near 71 Cents For Acton
Acton’s contract has closed between 68 and 71 cents every day since Oct. 8, up from 58 on Sept. 4. Her last trade Monday morning was 70, with a bid of 70 and an ask of 71, and Ramaswamy is at 31.
Ohio draws the most trading of the three races, about 1.55 million Ramaswamy contracts and 1.13 million Acton contracts. A Ramaswamy contract at 31 cents pays 69 cents of profit, more than twice the stake, while Acton at the 71-cent ask pays 29. Polymarket US lists Acton at 71.
The Ten Races Compared
The races below sit on the governor election odds board in cents per $1 contract. Kansas Republican Ty Masterson is at 76 cents against 24 for Democrat Cindy Holscher, tied with Texas, where Gov. Greg Abbott is at 76, as the fourth-closest race on Kalshi.
| State | Kalshi odds (cents) | Polymarket US odds (cents) |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia | Rick Jackson (R) 51, Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 48 | R 53, D 49 |
| Nevada | Aaron Ford (D) 55, Joe Lombardo (R) 45 | D 57, R 45 |
| Ohio | Amy Acton (D) 70, Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 31 | D 71, R 31 |
| Kansas | Ty Masterson (R) 76, Cindy Holscher (D) 24 | R 76, D 26 |
| Wisconsin | David Crowley (D) 80, Tom Tiffany (R) 20 | D 81, R 21 |
| Iowa | Rob Sand (D) 87, Zach Lahn (R) 16 | D 90, R 12 |
| Arizona | Katie Hobbs (D) 91, Andy Biggs (R) 9.8 | D 90, R 12 |
| Michigan | Jocelyn Benson (D) 92.7, John James (R) 7.4 | D 93, R 8 |
| New York | Kathy Hochul (D) 93.4, Bruce Blakeman (R) 6.3 | D 94, R 8 |
| Pennsylvania | Josh Shapiro (D) 96.3, Stacy Garrity (R) 4.4 | D 97, R 5 |
Iowa shows the widest gap between the exchanges, with Polymarket US listing Sand at 90 and Lahn at 12 against Kalshi’s last trade of 16 on Lahn. Michigan, Pennsylvania and New York Democrats each trade above 92, and the wider election odds board tracks every race.
Election Contracts Are Restricted In Some States
Election contracts are restricted in some states, and in August a judge barred Kalshi election contracts in Washington. Voters decide all 36 governor’s contests Nov. 3.
