2026 Election Tracker
Delaware Election Odds - 2026 Live Betting Odds & Voting History
Delaware 2026 election odds for Sen. Chris Coons' third Senate term, Rep. Sarah McBride's first House reelection, plus a history of past Delaware elections.
| Electoral votes | 3 |
|---|---|
| 2024 presidential result | Harris 56% / Trump 42% (D+14 margin) |
| Current governor | Matt Meyer (D), elected 2024 (next 2028) |
| U.S. senators | Chris Coons (D, on 2026 ballot), Lisa Blunt Rochester (D, next 2030) |
| 2026 races on the ballot | U.S. Senate, 1 at-large U.S. House seat |
| Cook PVI | D+7 |
Delaware in 2026: zero gubernatorial races, one Senate race featuring a safely re-elected incumbent, and one at-large House seat held by the first openly transgender member of Congress. The political math is straightforward. Joe Biden's home state has not elected a Republican to a statewide office in 16 years. Chris Coons is seeking his third full Senate term (he's been there since 2010 when he won the special election to fill Joe Biden's seat). Sarah McBride holds the at-large House seat. Gov. Matt Meyer took office in January 2025 after winning 2024. Everything is Democratic. Everything is safe. The interesting Delaware story for 2026 isn't who wins, it's how Delaware Democrats are positioning for what comes after Coons, Carper's legacy seat (now held by Lisa Blunt Rochester), and the generational handoff that's been underway since Tom Carper retired in 2024. We have all the election odds you need for Delaware elections here on ElectionOdds.com.
Is Delaware a Red State or a Blue State?
Delaware is a solidly Democratic state and the home state of former President Joe Biden. Kamala Harris carried Delaware by 14.7 points in 2024. Biden won it by 18.9 in 2020, Clinton by 11.4 in 2016, and Obama by 18.6 in 2012. The state has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. Cook PVI rates Delaware D+6. Delaware's Democratic identity is relatively recent: the state voted Republican in five of six presidential elections from 1968 through 1988 before shifting decisively Democratic in the 1990s.
The downballot picture is Democratic across the board. Democrats hold the governorship under Matt Meyer, who took office in January 2025. Democrats hold both U.S. Senate seats (Lisa Blunt Rochester and Chris Coons) and the state's lone U.S. House seat. Democrats hold both chambers of the state legislature. Lisa Blunt Rochester's 2024 Senate win made her the first Black senator from Delaware and the first Black woman to represent the state in any federal office. Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate race in Delaware since 1994 and have not held the governorship since 1992.
Delaware's voting pattern is shaped by its small size and its three-county geography. New Castle County in the north, anchored by Wilmington and the I-95 corridor, contains roughly 60% of the state's population and votes heavily Democratic. Kent County in the center, which includes Dover and the state government, is competitive but leans Democratic. Sussex County in the south, which includes the beach towns and the agricultural areas around the Maryland and Virginia borders, votes Republican by significant margins. The state's chemical and pharmaceutical industries, headquartered around Wilmington, contribute to a well-educated suburban Democratic base.
The state's politics were profoundly shaped by Joe Biden's 36-year Senate career and subsequent vice presidency and presidency. Biden's daughter, son, and broader political network have continued to play a significant role in Delaware politics. Tom Carper, who held one of the state's Senate seats from 2001 through 2025, was Biden's longtime political ally. The state has 3 electoral votes through 2030, the minimum.
Will Delaware become competitive? No, not at the presidential or U.S. Senate level. The state's structural Democratic advantages, anchored by the New Castle County population, are durable. Sussex County's Republican strength is not large enough to threaten Democratic statewide control, although it has fueled occasional Republican wins for the lower-tier statewide offices. The state will not be competitive in 2028. For a full state-by-state comparison, see the red states vs. blue states map.
Delaware Governor Betting Odds
Matt Meyer won't face Delaware voters until 2028. The former New Castle County executive won the 2024 Delaware gubernatorial primary against Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long (which became contested after Hall-Long's running mate withdrew amid campaign finance issues), then won the general election by 20 points over Republican Mike Ramone. His term runs through January 2029.
The next Delaware gubernatorial election is November 2028. Meyer will be eligible for a second term. Delaware Democrats have held the governorship since John Carney won in 2016 (after Jack Markell's two terms 2009-2017). Find all of the Governors elections here.
Delaware Governor Election History
Delaware's governorship has been Democratic for more than three decades. Republican Mike Castle served two terms through 1992, and his lieutenant governor Dale Wolf finished the term in a 20-day tenure, making Wolf the last Republican to hold the office. Democrats Tom Carper, Ruth Ann Minner, Jack Markell, John Carney, and Matt Meyer have held it ever since.
Meyer, a former New Castle County executive, won the 2024 open race, taking a contested primary over Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long and then the general by 20 points. There is no 2026 governor's race; the next is in 2028, when Meyer will be eligible for a second term in a state where Democrats have controlled the office since 1993.
Delaware Senate Betting Odds
Chris Coons inherited the Delaware Senate seat in 2010 from then-Vice-President Joe Biden and has held it ever since. He won the special election to fill Biden's vacated seat (defeating Republican Christine O'Donnell in the race that produced the infamous "I'm not a witch" campaign ad), and is now seeking a third full term. He chairs the Senate Ethics Committee and is a senior member of the Foreign Relations and Appropriations Committees.
Republican primary: Canceled, only one Republican filed (Eric Hansen). Democratic primary: Minor opposition only. Coons is safe. Delaware has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since William Roth's 1994 re-election (Joe Biden defeated Roth in 2000). The state's federal delegation has been entirely Democratic since 2010.
Junior senator Lisa Blunt Rochester, the first African American and first woman senator from Delaware, won the 2024 race to succeed Tom Carper and is next up in 2030. Cook rates Solid Democratic. See all of the election odds for senate seats here.
U.S. Senate
Delaware U.S. Senate Election History
Delaware's Senate seats have been Democratic since the retirement of Republican William Roth, whom Joe Biden defeated in 2000. Biden held one seat for 36 years until his 2009 vice presidency, when Chris Coons won the special election to succeed him, memorably defeating Republican Christine O'Donnell. Tom Carper held the other seat from 2001 until retiring in 2024.
Coons, who chairs the Ethics Committee and sits on Foreign Relations and Appropriations, is seeking a third full term in 2026 with the Republican primary canceled for lack of candidates. His seat is Solid Democratic, while Lisa Blunt Rochester, who succeeded Carper in 2024 as the state's first Black senator, is up in 2030.
Delaware House Betting Odds
Sarah McBride became the first openly transgender member of Congress when she won Delaware's at-large seat in 2024. She succeeded Blunt Rochester after Blunt Rochester moved to the Senate. McBride was previously a state senator and the national press secretary for the Human Rights Campaign.
McBride is running for re-election to a second term. The Republican challenger has not been finalized as of mid-May 2026. Independent candidates Kellie Keenan and C.D. Reynolds are on the ballot. The general election is Solid Democratic, Delaware's at-large seat has been held by Democrats continuously since 2011. No mid-decade redistricting (Delaware has only one at-large seat). Primary September 15, 2026. See all election odds for house seats here.
Delaware U.S. House Election History
Delaware has a single at-large House seat, the oldest continuously intact district in the country, and it has been Democratic since 2011, when John Carney won it after Republican Mike Castle's long tenure. Lisa Blunt Rochester then held it from 2017 until moving to the Senate in 2024.
Sarah McBride won the seat in 2024, becoming the first openly transgender member of Congress, and is seeking a second term. The seat is Solid Democratic, and because Delaware has only one at-large district, there is no redistricting to contest.
Delaware Presidential Election Betting Odds
Delaware's smallest Democratic presidential margin since 1988 came in 2024, when Harris won by 14, narrower than Biden's 19-point home-state win four years earlier. The state has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. Cook PVI rates Delaware D+7. The 3 electoral votes are safe Democratic for 2028.
Delaware is unlikely to be politically significant in 2028 presidential primaries (it lost the early primary status it had during the Biden era).
Delaware Presidential Election History
Delaware's Democratic identity is relatively recent. It voted Republican in five of six presidential elections from 1968 through 1988, then shifted decisively Democratic in the 1990s and has voted blue in every election since 1992, reinforced by its status as Joe Biden's home state.
Margins have run in the double digits, though Harris's 14.7-point win in 2024 was the state's narrowest since 1988, reflecting the national working-class drift. Cook PVI rates it D+6 to D+7, and its 3 electoral votes, the minimum, are safely Democratic. Delaware lost the early-primary status it briefly held during the Biden era.
Delaware Political Props & Other Markets
State-specific prediction markets tied to Delaware politics, like cabinet moves, resignations, and ballot questions.
Other markets
Delaware Political Polls
The polls below pull the latest 2026 survey data for Delaware's races, though in Joe Biden's deep-blue home state every contest is safely Democratic. Sen. Chris Coons seeks a third full term, his Republican primary canceled for lack of candidates, and Rep. Sarah McBride, the first openly transgender member of Congress, runs for a second term in the at-large seat. There is no governor race this cycle.
With no competitive general elections, the real Delaware story is the generational handoff among Democrats following Tom Carper's 2024 retirement. Where a race has no recent public polling, that section will say so rather than show stale data.
Delaware governor polls
No Delaware governor polls are currently available from public sources. This section will populate automatically when pollsters release new surveys for this race.
Delaware U.S. Senate polls
No Delaware U.S. Senate polls are currently available from public sources. This section will populate automatically when pollsters release new surveys for this race.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Delaware a red state or a blue state?
Delaware is a solidly Democratic state and Joe Biden's home state. Harris carried it by about 15 points in 2024, Democrats hold every statewide and federal office, and Cook PVI rates it D+6 to D+7. It has not elected a Republican statewide in 16 years.
Is Chris Coons' Senate seat safe?
Yes. Coons, who has held Joe Biden's former seat since 2010 and chairs the Senate Ethics Committee, is seeking a third full term. The Republican primary was canceled because only one candidate filed, and Cook rates the seat Solid Democratic.
Is there a Delaware governor race in 2026?
No. Democrat Matt Meyer won in 2024 and his term runs through 2029, so the next gubernatorial election is in 2028. The 2026 ballot is the Senate seat and the single at-large House seat.
Who represents Delaware in the House?
Democrat Sarah McBride, who won the at-large seat in 2024 to become the first openly transgender member of Congress. She is running for a second term, and the seat is Solid Democratic, held by Democrats continuously since 2011.
Odds are aggregated from public prediction markets including Polymarket and Kalshi and are updated multiple times daily. They reflect real-money market pricing, not polling or editorial forecasts, and are provided for informational purposes only. ElectionOdds.com does not accept wagers.