Political Betting
South Dakota 2026: Governor Primary Odds on Election Day
South Dakota votes today in a chaotic four-way GOP governor primary. Kalshi has Johnson at 48% and Doeden at 43% to win the nomination, with a…
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Election Betting News
The latest on the 2026 midterms and 2028 race, and what it means for the odds.
Political Betting
New Mexico 2026: Governor, Senate, House Odds Preview
Haaland leads NM's Democratic governor primary at 92% on Kalshi. Luján's Senate seat has no Republican on the ballot. Democrats dominate the state's election odds.
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Political Betting
Louisiana’s New Map Is Law: What It Means for House Odds
Louisiana lawmakers passed a new congressional map Friday that eliminates one of the state’s two majority-Black districts, likely handing Republicans an additional House seat heading into…
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Political Betting
Iowa 2026: Governor, Senate, and House Odds Preview
Iowa’s June 2 primary will set the nominees for an unusually competitive slate of races. Both the governor’s seat and a U.S. Senate seat are open…
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Political Betting
Montana 2026: What Bettors Should Know Before the June 2 Primary
Montana’s June 2 primary will set the nominees for an open U.S. Senate seat and two House seats. The Senate race is the most closely watched…
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Political Betting
California 2026: Final Primary Betting Preview
Kalshi gives Xavier Becerra a 69% chance of winning the California governorship, up from 62% earlier this month, while Steve Hilton sits at 12% and Tom…
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Redistricting
Federal Court Blocks Alabama GOP Map, South Carolina Senate Rejects Its Own
A federal court just took a Republican House seat off the board for the November midterms, and the Supreme Court is about to decide whether to…
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US
Polymarket and Kalshi Face Their First Insider Trading Reckoning
A U.S. Army Special Forces master sergeant was charged in April with using classified information to make more than $409,000 on Polymarket from bets on the…
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US
Texas Primary Recap: Paxton Routs Cornyn, Markets Were Right About Everything But the Margin
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeated Sen. John Cornyn 64% to 36% in Tuesday's Republican Senate runoff. Cornyn conceded on election night. Polymarket priced Paxton as…
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US
Texas Primary Runoff Preview: Paxton, Cornyn and the Trump Endorsement Test
Polymarket priced Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 95.5% to win Tuesday's Republican Senate runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, with Kalshi at 93.1%, after President…
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