Redistricting
Federal Court Blocks Alabama GOP Map, South Carolina Senate Rejects Its Own
A federal court just took a Republican House seat off the board for the November midterms, and the Supreme Court is about to decide whether to…
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Donald Trump
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US
Polymarket and Kalshi Face Their First Insider Trading Reckoning
A U.S. Army Special Forces master sergeant was charged in April with using classified information to make more than $409,000 on Polymarket from bets on the…
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US
Texas Primary Recap: Paxton Routs Cornyn, Markets Were Right About Everything But the Margin
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeated Sen. John Cornyn 64% to 36% in Tuesday's Republican Senate runoff. Cornyn conceded on election night. Polymarket priced Paxton as…
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US
Texas Primary Runoff Preview: Paxton, Cornyn and the Trump Endorsement Test
Polymarket priced Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 95.5% to win Tuesday's Republican Senate runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, with Kalshi at 93.1%, after President…
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Political Betting
Georgia 2026 Primary Recap: Ossoff and Governor Odds
Rep. Mike Collins and former football coach Derek Dooley advanced to a June 16 Republican runoff in Georgia’s Senate primary. Rep. Buddy Carter was knocked out.…
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Political Betting
Idaho 2026 Primary Recap: Little and Risch Advance
Gov. Brad Little won the Republican gubernatorial primary Tuesday, defeating seven challengers. He will face Democrat Terri Pickens in November. Sen. Jim Risch won the Republican…
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Political Betting
Kentucky 2026: Barr Wins, Faces Booker in November
Rep. Andy Barr won the Kentucky Republican Senate primary with 64% of the vote on Tuesday. He defeated former Attorney General Daniel Cameron, who finished second…
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Political Betting
Oregon 2026: Kotek, Drazan, Merkley Odds Breakdown
Kalshi had Christine Drazan at 78% to win the Oregon Republican governor primary on Tuesday, setting up what could be a rematch of the razor-thin 2022…
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Political Betting
Idaho 2026: Little, Risch Reelection Odds Breakdown
Gov. Brad Little is seeking a third term and faces seven Republican primary challengers on May 19, but holds a massive fundraising lead — raising about…
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Political Betting
Kentucky 2026: McConnell Seat Odds Breakdown
Rep. Andy Barr enters Kentucky’s May 19 GOP Senate primary as a heavy favorite after President Trump endorsed him and pushed businessman Nate Morris to drop…
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